No fluff this week, I’m just going to dive right into my two picks from each major salary range.
Jordan Spieth 11.7k – I guess I’m going to be writing up Jordan almost every week since he’s still dominating every aspect of the game except on the green. He continues to cost himself strokes with the flat stick but I can’t look past everything else plus he owns this course. I’m wondering if/when others will stop playing him because of his putting problems so I can get him at lower ownership. Doubt it will be this week due to his course history.
Webb Simpson 10.2k – I like the price hike. People are really going to have to make a strong opinion on what they want to do with him. He just dominated a target golf course and sure, he probably won’t putt like that again, but he’s been putting well all season. I don’t think it’s time to jump off the wagon.
Jimmy Walker 9.5k – I have to imagine with his recent form he’s going to be chalk, but other than that I don’t see how you can’t like Walker here. He’s accurate off the tee, hitting 70%+ GIR, putting well, gaining on approach…Been on him since The PLAYERS and will continue to do so until he’s priced higher. That being said – if I get the sense he will be the top owned player, he could be worth a fade for me. I really try not to use guys if they’re going to be ridiculous owned. It doesn’t always work out (See Leish last week) but in golf, more often than not, expensive golfers don’t pay off their salary. It’s a difficult task.
Patrick Cantlay 9.0k – When it comes to less than driver courses, Cantlay is 6th in SG:T2G among golfers who have played 20+ rounds on such courses. His been consistently underpriced since returning to the Tour last season and although he’s 9k this week I still think that’s under how he’s performed compared to others with similar stats/success. He’s also coming off of two solid LTD performances at The PLAYERS and Heritage.
Bryson DeChambeau 8.8k – Leads the field over the L10 tournaments in approach and is a strong less than driver golfer. He’s MC here twice but Bryson is playing the best golf of his career. He’s never been a great putter but of late it’s been clicking on the greens and he hasn’t been awful on bent grass. Crushing greens, been accurate of the tee and scrambling above 60% over his last four tournaments (though I don’t think scrambling is as important here).
Emiliano Grillo 8.5k – Question here is will ZJ/Grillo split up ownership grabs or will one be higher than the other? Certainly could influence who I play more but I love Grillo this week. Loves bent putting and he’s been crushing approach. Been very consistent, just waiting for him to pop back up on the leaderboard. Needs to avoid the blow up holes and I feel he will have a strong week.
Adam Hadwin 7.6k – Hadwin has been doing many thing well lately, except putting, which is odd for him. Similar to Spieth in a sense, but a lower level of strokes gained dominance than Jordan, but better putting. If Hadwin can get the flat stick working again on these green there’s no reason he won’t out-score his salary.
Nick Watney 7.3k – This last spot in the 7k range was tough because there are a lot of golfers in this range and many are playable but I’ll toss Watney out there. Until his 2nd place at Wells Fargo he wasn’t making any high finishes but consistently making cuts. His ARG game has been letting him down, but again, I don’t think that is as important this week. He’s gained strokes on approach in seven of his last eight tournaments and that will do him well if he can continue that this week.
Other low price targets – Burns, Harkins, Putnam, McNealy,
T20’s (waiting for other books to release – check back in for odds)
Watney – Will add if off in the AM
Reavie – Will add if off in the AM