After a hiatus from Quail Hollow last year, the Wells Fargo will be returning after the course hosted last years PGA Championship. The course played more difficult for the PGA and I’ve read it will not be in the same exact conditions so I didn’t dig to much into those results for DK scoring purposes.
Below are my thoughts on a couple players from the main salary groupings that I will be targeting.
Justin Thomas 11.3k – I’m sure there will be a lot of attention on Rory however I’ll continue to back JT, who I believe is currently the playing the best golf in the world (real limb walker, I know). We all saw what he did here for the PGA, Not only has he been crushing greens, he’s been scrambling very well when he misses, avoiding getting in his own way. No need for me to stop backing now unless I see all week that he will be the most popular play – that could get me away some, but won’t full fade.
Rickie Fowler 11.1k – My hangup here will be ownership. Clearly love it here and everybody knows it and despite the arguments for and against CH, good CH by a top player often leads to high ownership. By the numbers, he’s playing as well as his boy JT, minus the wins. Makes birds, putts wells, scrambles well, still accurate off the tee – there’s not much to dislike unless you’re avoiding chalk or that he doesn’t often close (but that 4th at Augusta was nice to see, despite not winning).
Patrick Reed 9.7k – Early theme here is popularity. Going have to really gauge where you want to be but not many are playing better golf than this guy. Masters, two other T10s, 2nd here for PGA, and fits the other categories I’m looking at this week. I’m a big form guy, so with his recent scores it’s hard to get away from Reed.
Tommy Fleetwood 9.0k – Long, accurate, hits green = I want at Quail Hollow. Question always is, will the putter show up? Checks every box aside from the flatstick but has winning upside. I’m always a Fleets backer and then you give me this price, sign me and the rest of the DFS world up, I’m sure.
Louis Oosthuizen 8.8k – I seem to never get Louis right. Looking through his logged, find his MC or poor finishes and it’s my fault. Like Henley, he’s been outstanding over his last handful of tournaments. He’s has a high rate of greens hit and has been scrambling very well. Always seems to be a gamer in the deeper fields and I like his consistency.
Russell Henley 8.2k – He has no outstanding results at this course but he’s playing very well. He’s near the top in scoring over his last four tournaments, hitting 75% GIR and almost 70% of his fairways. If the course plays tougher with the mods from the PGA, this will be key if continued. Henley’s problem is he often makes quite a few untimely bogies.
Sam Burns 7.5k – I’ve been feeling the Burn for a while but he hasn’t played a Tour event since API (three straight on Web). He played well in those Web events, including a win, to follow up his solid showings on Tour. He has distance we like to see here (is it as important was it used to be!?) as well as a crazy high GIR rate. Currently don’t think he will be very popular but that could change if others get on board.
Andrew Landry 7.5k – Win hangover? Hope not because I’ll be back on board for a third straight DFS tournament. He had a bumpy stretch before his 42nd at RBC and his win in Texas but I’m wondering if part of that was the impending fatherhood. He has a decent birdie rate and low bogey rate, which makes sense with his above average scrambling and GIR.
Koepka 50/1 (have seen a few better numbers)
Ruffels 850/1 (that’s just a crazy number worth a few at least)
Doubles >> Rory & Rickie w/ Denmark, England, Spain