After another successful week, we move on to the team event, the Zurich Classic. I am a fan of this event for the simple fact that it’s different and a nice change of pace. There are many Tour events each year so having the match play and this team event are fine in my eyes and I’d actually like to see another match play event added later in the year (but that’s a different discussion).
We hit big last year on Cam/Jonas and look to repeat! It’s harder to cap this style of event with the team element so I’ll mainly be chasing after some form, birdies, and a few “comfortable” teams.
The pairs are going to have to score. Cam/Jonas and Kisner/Brown went to a playoff last year at -27, so there won’t be any time to mess around. Rounds 1/3 will be Best Ball (2/4 alternate shot) so that should influence a small amount on who you’re chasing for first round leader bets – and you should bet the FRL favorite duo of Every/Saunders (no, really, you should).
Upon looking at the opening odds, there wasn’t a lot that caught my eye and many duo’s were beat down pretty early.
Kisner/Brown 40/1 (late to party)
Mullinax/Randolph 80/1 (Pretty sure there are better #s out there, this is what I saw while writing)
I am still debating if I want to add Rahm/Bryan to the card. Feel they are a really nice compliment to each other but the question is if I want to stomach that number.
Volvo China Open
First things first – I’m not a Euro guy. I follow the tour loosely (although more heavily as of late) so I’m just going to share some musings.
This will be the third China Open played a Topwin; a Par 72, 7261 yard course. It’s full of long Par 5s and four Par 4s that are under 400 yards. There is much scoring to be had here, with previous winners finishing at -17 and -21.
Recent form, par 4 scoring, and solid GIR seemed to be a common theme among those at the top of last years DK scoring. I’ll just be keying in on mainly form and ignoring much of the lower ranks.
A. Levy 11.7k – If I’m looking to spend up on one of the top salary options I’m just going to play Levy. Ownership will be there I’m sure, but many will also go down to Li being $400 cheaper and it’s his countries national tournament (which he’s won and finished 11th). I’ll pay up for the guy in much better form, coming off a win, and another would go a long way to getting this Frenchmen on the Euro Ryder Cup team which is to be hosted in France. Oh, and he won here last year and won this event at a different course.
A. Bjork 9.0k – Stepping to the next salary range I’ll toss Bjork out there. I liked what I saw watching the weekend in Morocco and form is there with three T20’s in last five events, including last weeks 3rd. Hit a lot of greens, is a solid putter, and scores well on P4s.
B. Hebert 8.4k – The 8k range is where it gets clustered for me so I’ll chat about Ben Hebert. He has made four straight cuts with a 13th and 9th place with consistency in his stats. Has a solid birdie rate as well even with his longer term struggles on the greens (which have improved in recent weeks).
A. Pavan 7.5k – What a 4th round he had at the Trophee Hassan II and here’s to hoping that play continues. That’s not the only reason I’m on him; he hasn’t finished outside T25 except one MC back in March. He’s hit 80% of his green over last 2 events, and scrambling at a decent clip on those he’s missed. Not the longest hitter off the tee, but like last week at Valero I’m not sure it’s super important. Many guys will be laying up on these Par 5s, and on the short par 4s, it may only hurt that he can’t drive one of them.
So there are four golfers, one from each major salary range I’ll be targeting. I don’t feel like walking through the landmine field that is the 6.9k range and below.
I have only made one Euro bet so far this week (Van Rooyen 50/1) but will add to the card before it tees off, so be sure to follow on twitter where I will posted my final card.