NBA DFS Picks, 10-28-15
Welcome to the first real slate of the new season. We’ve got 14 games and there are plenty of options with some nice uptempo games to target.
Games to target
Houston vs Denver (212.5)
This is the game with the highest over under and it’s sure to be very uptempo and high scoring. This could be one of those nights where fading James Harden in cash games will lead to your demise. With Dwight Howard and Donatas Motiejunas out the floor is also open for Terrence Jones and bargain/punt/free throw bricker Clint Capela. On the Denver side Emmanuel Mudiay is a very intriguing play as he takes the reigns over the fast-paced Denver offense. He, Danilo Gallinari and Kenneth Faried will likely be racking up points on their way to a loss and are all nice plays at good values.
New Orleans vs Portland (205.5)
With LaMarcus Aldridge in San Antonio now the Blazers may be in for a difficult year. Lucky for us this means Damian Lillard will be a usage machine chucking up shots and deferring to nobody. With Jrue Holliday out for the Pelicans he will be matched up against Nate Robinson chucking up 3’s and making plays left and right. Dante Cunningham is a great cheap option for the Pelicans starting his second straight game. Last night he managed 13 points on 7 shots in 26 minutes of play. He should stay around 25-30 minutes making him excellent for his price especially at $3,000 on Draft Kings. I’m fading Anthony Davis coming off his dud last night with so many other studs to pay up for.
Other players to target
Damian Lillard is close to a must-play. Pairing him with Mudiay on Fan Duel seems like a one of the best options tonight, but fading Russell Westbrook is always tough. At one point last season during Westbrook’s godly late-season run he was about $3,000 dollars more expensive than any other player on any given night and was still impossible to fade. Now at $9900 he seems like a bargain but with Durant back it’s probably best to wait and see before paying up for Russ.
It’s also difficult to fade Chris Paul especially with an O/U of 210.5 in the Clippers vs. Kings game. In fact if you can afford both Paul and Lillard, go for it. But Lillard is the safer play tonight if we’re picking one.
Don’t get caught fading James Harden tonight. Jimmy Butler and Victor Oladipo are fine plays any night but missing out on a gigantic outburst from James Harden will probably ruin your lineup rather than helping you save and get the points elsewhere. A second shooting guard option, if you want to save a little money is Avery Bradley who should get plenty of looks in Boston’s matured offense against the Sixers.
Oh no do you fade LeBron tonight?!?! Yes, let the noobs play him to their heart’s content. Bargaining at small forward is the best. Let the secret weapons Danillo Gallinari and Dante Cunningham do the damage. If you want to pay up a little bit Andrew Wiggins is a great play. He had his ups and downs last year but he should thrive as the 2nd-year focal point on a better Timberwolves team. Marcus Morris is a sneaky option coming off a big debut with the Pistons.
Aside from Terrence Jones one of the best power forward plays tonight is Greg Monroe in his Bucks debut. Now that he’s free from Monroe he’ll likely be stacking up more rebounds and getting more shots. He’s still relatively cheap on both Draft Kings and Fan Duel and can certainly be paired with Jones on either site. Clint Capela is a PF on Draft Kings but a C on Fan Duel.
On Fan Duel if you’re just stuck on playing Clint Capela, and who could blame you, you’re going to have to play him at Center. If you’re second-guessing playing Clint Capela, and who could blame you, Marcin Gortat is an excellent play against Orlando who he dominated last season.